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2050 pathway to an active renewable energy scenario for Jiangsu province

机译:2050年江苏省积极的可再生能源方案之路

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摘要

In 2009, Jiangsu province of China supplied 99.6 percent of its total energy consumption with fossil fuels, of which 82 percent was imported from other provinces and countries. With rising energy demand, frequent energy shortages, and increasing pollution, it is essential for Jiangsu to put more emphasis on improving its energy efficiency and utilizing its renewable resources in the future. This paper presents the integrated energy pathway for Jiangsu during its social and economic transformation until 2050. EnergyPLAN is the chosen energy system analysis tool, since it accounts for all sectors of the energy system that needs to be considered when integrating large-scale renewable energy. A current policy scenario (CPS) based on current energy policies and an ambitious policy scenario (APS) based on large-scale integration of renewable energy and ambitious measures of energy efficiency improvement are proposed. The two energy pathways are modeled and compared in terms of technology combination, non-fossil fuel shares of primary energy supply, socioeconomic costs, and CO2 emissions. The insights from these pathways can provide valuable input for Jiangsu's future energy policies.
机译:2009年,中国江苏省的能源消费总量中有99.6%来自化石燃料,其中82%从其他省份和国家进口。随着能源需求的增加,能源短缺的频繁发生以及污染的加剧,江苏有必要在未来更加重视提高能源效率和利用其可再生资源。本文介绍了江苏省在2050年之前的社会经济转型过程中的综合能源途径。EnergyPLAN是首选的能源系统分析工具,因为它涵盖了整合大规模可再生能源时需要考虑的能源系统的所有领域。提出了基于当前能源政策的当前政策情景(CPS)和基于大规模可再生能源整合和提高能效措施的雄心勃勃的政策情景(APS)。根据技术组合,一次能源供应中的非化石燃料份额,社会经济成本和CO2排放,对这两种能源路径进行了建模和比较。这些途径的见解可以为江苏未来的能源政策提供宝贵的意见。

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